Category: Economic Data

Economic data sets the backdrop every stock trades against. CPI, PPI, payrolls, JOLTS, retail sales, GDP, PMI and consumer sentiment shape rate expectations, and rate expectations shape everything else.

This category covers each major release: what it measures, which components the market actually reacts to, what was expected versus what printed, and how equities, yields and the dollar responded.

Our focus is the reaction, not the forecast. We do not predict the number. We prepare for both outcomes, mapping the level that breaks if it comes in hot and the level that holds if it comes in soft, so you have a plan either way instead of watching a candle explode with no position and no thesis.

You will also find calendar context: which prints matter this month, which ones the Fed is watching, and why the same release can move markets one month and be ignored the next.

Read these alongside Fed and Rates. Data drives policy expectations, and policy expectations drive price.