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June PPI Holds Steady: Inflation Takes a Breather (2025)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases the Producer Price Index (PPI) report monthly, providing crucial insights into the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services. The report is typically released around the 12th of each month at 8:30 AM Eastern Time. It includes data on various industry classifications, commodity classifications, and the Final Demand-Intermediate Demand system. These offer a comprehensive view of price changes across different sectors. This data is essential for economists, policymakers, and businesses to understand inflationary trends and make informed decisions.

June Producer Price Index

In June 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that overall producer prices didn’t change compared to May. That means prices stayed steady, which can be a sign of economic balance. Over the past 12 months, however, producer prices went up by 2.3%.

When we break it down, goods got a little more expensive (up 0.3% in June) while service prices went down slightly by 0.1%. The biggest increase in goods came from items not related to food or energy, which also rose 0.3%. Energy prices rose 0.6% and food prices increased by 0.2%.

Some products saw noticeable price changes. For example, communication equipment went up by 0.8%, and prices for gasoline, electricity, meats, and nuts also increased. But not everything went up (chicken eggs dropped a huge 21.8%), and prices for some plastics and gas liquids fell.

Service prices dropped mainly because hotel rates fell by 4.1%. Other services like car sales, airline tickets, and banking also went down. However, some areas went up: portfolio management (financial services) rose by 2.2%, and prices for machinery, furniture, and clothing also increased.

The core prices (excluding food, energy, and trade services) stayed the same in June after going up just 0.1% in May. Over the year, this core price index rose 2.5%.

 

Impacts of June PPI Data on Market

Headline producer prices stayed flat in June, which shows that inflation at the producer level is leveling off. Over the past year, overall producer inflation slowed to 2.3% (the lowest rate since September 2024). 

Core producer prices, which ignore food, energy, and trade services, also stopped rising, with their yearly increase falling to 2.6% from 3.2%.

This slowdown in price growth may lead the Federal Reserve to rate cuts later in the year.

In short, the June data points to a break in inflation, giving both the Fed and financial markets some room to breathe and plan ahead.

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Shahryar Rahmani

CEO and Co-Founder

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